Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.871072 7.591951 8.392577 9.354795 10.489391 11.796866 13.435578
2025-02-02 6.072084 7.109261 8.368739 10.043570 12.265389 15.194863 19.504572
2025-02-09 5.534737 6.728091 8.265898 10.461369 13.641661 18.313773 26.228595
2025-02-16 5.035485 6.284635 7.964149 10.491755 14.412308 20.708703 32.806669
2025-02-23 4.744911 6.063572 7.906385 10.820507 15.652785 24.159005 42.964091
2025-03-02 4.317218 5.597945 7.431388 10.423881 15.609731 25.335081 49.192755
2025-03-09 3.995906 5.249335 7.083181 10.164737 15.731616 26.838368 57.199551
2025-03-16 3.755596 4.995048 6.846574 10.047184 16.073620 28.891285 68.375378
2025-03-23 3.646998 4.924615 6.882839 10.390722 17.359284 33.517826 92.858246
2025-03-30 3.413853 4.645822 6.559387 10.052210 17.194218 34.576147 105.614383
2025-04-06 3.201464 4.384862 6.243384 9.689476 16.911194 35.245407 117.980544
2025-04-13 3.010946 4.146548 5.946922 9.330772 16.576006 35.678113 130.348018
2025-04-20 2.870714 3.992201 5.800546 9.283991 17.044002 39.029021 171.294134
2025-04-27 2.857490 4.042158 6.010253 9.972973 19.475544 50.507312 346.718927
2025-05-04 2.799496 4.013301 6.077950 10.386703 21.379859 62.229123 746.234349
2025-05-11 2.693265 3.895514 5.973204 10.416779 22.260585 70.762430 1527.133945
2025-05-18 2.634147 3.852645 6.000927 10.742040 24.128742 86.995800 7601.275063
2025-05-25 2.493134 3.659894 5.730719 10.349620 23.653454 89.328046 20146.959060
2025-06-01 2.379409 3.508513 5.528711 10.093182 23.566552 94.437049 392876.044985
2025-06-08 2.290477 3.395687 5.392662 9.976846 23.929522 103.651202 NaN
2025-06-15 2.257358 3.379103 5.442096 10.316809 26.028201 132.000507 NaN
2025-06-22 2.156709 3.236538 5.231602 9.981821 25.529328 135.485619 NaN
2025-06-29 2.060041 3.097123 5.019659 9.622802 24.861145 136.564894 NaN